500 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik
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Durch das permanente Wachstum der Weltbevölkerung wird der Bedarf von Textilien stetig steigen. Die Produktvielfalt sowie der Konsum der Textilien werden immer größer. Die aktuellen Recyclingtechniken ermöglichen es nicht, den Rohstoffkreislauf für Textilien zu schließen. Dies liegt auch darin begründet, dass derzeit große Mengen der Textilien aus Mischgeweben zwischen Baumwolle und PET bestehen. Die Trennung dieser Komponenten ist jedoch eine Grundvoraussetzung für die Entwicklung eines geschlossenen Rohstoffkreislaufs und stellt gleichzeitig eine große Herausforderung für das Recycling dar. Durch chemische Recyclingverfahren können die Rohstoffe getrennt, aufbereitet und in die Textilproduktion zurückgeführt werden. In dieser Arbeit wird aufgezeigt, wie ein chemischer Recyclingprozess, der einen geschlossenen Rohstoffkreislauf erlaubt, technisch realisiert werden kann. Der Prozess erzeugt eine PET-Fraktion und eine Celluloselösung, die in weiteren Verarbeitungsschritten zu einer Regeneratfaser versponnen wird. In dieser frühen Projektphase werden in dieser Arbeit ebenfalls die Investitionsausgaben und die Herstellungskosten für das Verfahren abgeschätzt.
Die vorliegende Masterarbeit behandelt die Bewertung der eingegangenen Unternehmensrisiken im Rahmen der Lebensversicherung und die hiervon abgeleiteten Auswirkungen zur Unternehmenssteuerung.
Dabei wird einerseits die Angemessenheit der sog. „Standardformel“ nach Solvency II überprüft, die in den europäischen Mitgliedsstaaten einen weitestgehend einheitlichen Ansatz bei der Bewertung der Risiken von Versicherungsunternehmen verwendet. Andererseits werden unter ökonomischen Überlegungen versicherungsmathematische Methoden vorgestellt, wie ein Lebensversicherer seine Risiken unternehmensindividueller ermitteln und damit seinen tatsächlichen Risikokapitalbedarf bestimmen kann.
Zur Quantifizierung der Ergebnisse werden die Berechnungsvorgaben der Standardformel für ausgewählte Risikomodule nachgebildet und mit den in dieser Arbeit vorgestellten unternehmensindividuellen Berechnungen verglichen und analysiert. Es zeigt sich, dass trotz der Komplexität des Solvency II-Modells eine noch differenziertere Herangehensweise notwendig ist, damit ein einzelnes Unternehmen seine Risiken adäquat und möglichst individuell bestimmen kann. Zur Gewährleistung einer nicht bestandsgefährdenden Unternehmensfortführung müssen die Versicherungsunternehmen bei Betrachtung ihrer Risiken mithilfe des EU-weiten Aufsichtssystems Solvency II in der Lage sein, die korrekten Rückschlüsse zur Unternehmenssteuerung zu ziehen. Die in dieser Arbeit vorgestellten versicherungsmathematischen Ansätze können dabei den Prozess zur unternehmenseigenen Risiko- und Solvabilitätsbeurteilung (ORSA) unterstützen.
The post-conflict setting in Colombia resulted after the signing of the peace agreement between the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) and the national Government at the end of 2016, faces two main problems. On one hand, the environmental degradation and the pressure over the ecosystems now exposed to the economic and socio-demographic dynamics of the country; and on the other hand, the increase of violence in rural areas characterized by the abundance of natural resources. These two problems can be linked through the complex dynamics of natural resources appropriation. Among the natural resources affecting the course of the post-conflict in Colombia, gold appears as one of the most relevant sources of violence and environmental degradation. This condition makes it crucial to understand the complex local dynamics of mining regions in order to propose alternatives for consolidating a sustaining peace. The armed groups, the state, the private companies, and traditional gold mining communities are all stakeholders involved in gold mining and the conflicts around this activity. Nevertheless, communities have been denied as a formal actor.
This work aims to give voice to those communities, understanding them as a key actor for peacebuilding. This research seeks to understand the relationship between gold mining and the social-armed conflict in Colombia, to identify which are the drivers for the increasing of this activity during the post-conflict, as well as which strategies developed by traditional gold mining communities can contribute to peacebuilding. Thus, an integrative analytical framework is developed. This theoretical framework integrates 1) environmental peacebuilding to evaluate the possibilities of natural resources to becoming tools for cooperation, and 2) political ecology to clarify, from a multi-scalar approach, the socio-political context in which the conflict takes place. Hence, from a qualitative approach that involves several ethnographic methods is found that artisanal-ancestral miners and traditional miners organized to remain in their territories in a context of dispossession, have developed socio-ecological systems and natural resources management strategies relevant to implement initiatives of environmental peacebuilding that can be sustained over time and aimed to overcome the structural causes of violence and environmental degradation.
The southeast of Córdoba province used to be originally covered by hundreds of wetlands that got heavily modified or drained in the last few decades. Since wetlands provide various important ecosystem services (ESS) for human well-being, their degradation created several problems in La Picasa basin, among which floods are the most obvious one. The wise use of wetlands is increasingly acknowledged to be part of nature-based solution approaches reducing disaster risk. However, in the study area these approaches remain a relatively new concept to decision makers and the lack of knowledge on their effectiveness and implementation process poses a serious barrier to their adoption.
To overcome this obstacle, this dissertation applies an ESS perspective on the current problems of La Picasa basin and sets it in a context of socio-ecological system (SES) theory. A comprehensive analysis of (1) the role wetlands have played in the historic development of the SES, (2) important stakeholder dynamics that create opportunities or restrictions for the conservation of wetlands and (3) possible management approaches to inverse negative ESS trade-offs and feedback loops, was performed.
Results demonstrate that the current problems of floods have both natural and anthropogenic causes. In this regard, wetlands hold a vital role in the complex historic interactions between the social and ecological drivers of changes in the water balance. Although a social network between stakeholders exists, several conflicts prevent a proper functioning of a basin-wide integrated management concept based on wetland restoration. Nature-based solution approaches, putting wetlands in the center of attention of future management strategies, were found to hold a high potential to reduce the risk of floods and, as a side-effect boost biodiversity and habitat quality in the study area.
In the Mesoamerican forest Selva Maya, multiple driving forces create an imbalance in the sensitive human-nature relation and demand for innovative management strategies for its re-establishment. Within the Guatemalan Maya Biosphere Reserve (MBR), core areas are under strict protective legislation and agricultural activity is permitted only within a bordering buffer zone (BZ), which covers great part of the Guatemalan department Petén. Here, the implementation of agroecological practices by multiple stakeholders aims at tackling the principle driving forces of environmental degradation and thus at reducing the pressure on Central America’s largest tropical forest area. Since 2011, the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) has assisted local stakeholders by carrying out the project “Conservation and sustainable use of the Selva Maya”. This project has offered technical support, cooperated with national institutions, and assisted multiple target groups to nudge agroecological transitions at the household and community level. As the establishment of agroecological systems face main obstacles stemming from the socio-ecological setting of the respective area, the following work presents a context specific analysis for the adaption of established strategies in the MBR BZ. Therefore, it raises the following research questions: What are the current properties of the socio-ecological system that describes the BZ? How has the GIZ’s project nudged and guided agroecological transitions? Which factors have favored or limited the turn to agroecological farming? And finally: Which recommendations derive for the navigation of agroecological transitions? The overall research approach is orientated on the framework of ecosystem stewardship1 and incorporates elements of system theory and resilience science. The framework has been adapted by combining two approaches on different management levels. The social-ecological system approach2 is used to describe the socio-ecological system of the BZ, while the evaluation of the pilot groups‘ AESs follows the Mexican MESMIS3 approach for sustainability assessments. By the integration of both approaches, it is revealed that the socio-economic context impedes or hinders the implementation of agroecological strategies for the majority of farmers. The application of the MESMIS framework has revealed that the installed monitoring mechanism is dysfunctional. Findings further indicate that there is potential for transitions of individual AESs, but they demand investments and support with the current circumstances of reducing farmers’ vulnerability. The rapidly decreasing social and environmental conditions for family farmers in the BZ are most likely not addressed by solutions that the agroecological approach tackles. Recommendations for the immediate improvement of the strategy include adjustments of the project’s proceedings as well as fundamental changes in conservation paradigm and governance to maintain the necessary functionality of the socio-ecological system.
La Picasa basin, an interjurisdictional endorreic basin of 5282 km2 located in the “Central Pampa” in Argentina, has suffered repeated flooding caused by an increasing water level of La Picasa lagoon, affecting livelihoods, infrastructure, transportation and agriculture. Although water infrastructure has been built to regulate water excesses, it has not been effective in reducing the flood risk.
To improve the knowledge of the hydrological system, the master’s thesis aimed to develop a water balance model of La Picasa lagoon at a monthly time step between the hydrological years 2007/2008 and 2016/2017. Specifically, the objectives were to identify and quantify the most important components and processes determining its water level, area and volume and to propose hypothetical simulation scenarios based on different pumping operation schemes.
The description of the conceptual model and implementation of a sensitivity analysis allowed to identify the inflow and outflow components of the water balance and quantify their relative contributions, namely precipitation, water discharge from channels, surface runoff from surrounding sub-basins of the lagoon, evaporation and pumping. The performance tests applied to the model during the calibration and validation showed a very good performance. Additionally, two simulation scenarios were proposed, namely potential pumping and adjusted pumping, which reflected different trajectories of the water balance.
The master’s thesis concluded that precipitation and evaporation were the most determinant inflow and outflow components in the water balance of La Picasa lagoon respectively. However, the flooding event in 2016/2017 was caused by a simultaneous reduction of net evaporation and an increase in water discharge, surface runoff and intermittent pumping. The simulation scenarios suggested that an optimal operation of the pumping stations could have been effective to increase the storage capacity of the lagoon. However, during longer humid periods, it might not be enough to outweigh additional inflows.